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Trikaal Capital - Research Blog
Investors Blog
A blog for investors in equities, debt, gold, and mutual funds.
Monday, 06 July 2020 10:49
End of the Buy & Hold Era
Warren Buffett is undoubtedly the top role model for most of the long-term investors. But when one looks at his last few years’ performance, one feels very disheartened. Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRK) was in headlines in May for announcing a shocking Q1 loss of $49.7 billion! Since last several years…
Friday, 24 April 2020 18:43
40.5% vs -9.5% (Our returns vs Nifty returns): What is the secret of this success?
There are only two risks in stock markets – if you manage them well, you can not only protect your capital, but can also consistently beat market returns. The first and biggest risk is that markets will sink – like what happened recently due to corona virus. The second risk…
Friday, 14 February 2020 11:32
The next Recession & a 75% Correction – Are you Prepared?
Universe is full of contradictions – grave risks and enormous opportunities exist at same time. With huge young population, India has the world’s biggest demographic dividend benefit that can drive its growth for decades. It is supported by political stability, growing economy, and a pro business government. Though we are…
Sunday, 09 February 2020 16:22
India to Take Off Again – A New Growth Phase Based on Structural Reforms
Right since 2014, NDA has worked hard to make India one of the most investor friendly nations. Though at present Indian economy is seeing one of its slowest growth periods but that is transitionary, and there are strong reasons for a structural economic revival. It is not at all difficult…
Sunday, 02 February 2020 22:15
Budget 2020 – A Bitter Pill
Markets expected a big bang budget with a strong dose of financial stimulus to revive the economy, but there was not even a hint of a slowdown in the budget speech! Is it the arrogance of government? In fact, it is exactly what India needed for a sustainable long term…
Friday, 24 January 2020 14:43
Can Equity Investment become Risk Free?
There are broadly two risks – either your stock price will fall and then does not recover, or the whole market enters into a recession. Till now, the markets have always recovered from every recession, but many stocks are not able to recover and that causes big losses to most…
Thursday, 04 July 2019 17:14
Market Signal
This is not about any buy/sell signal, this note is to inform that at today's level of 11946 (gain of 1040 points), we close our free service. From now onwards, only our clients will be intimated about market entry and exit signals.
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Sunday, 28 April 2019 10:13
India to lead the Middle Class Wave of the Century
Stocks which will become future blue-chips like Infosys, Bharti, and Page Industries – are right here in this segment. And this multi decade growth journey has just started, do not miss, find these great stocks and invest now! “Opportunities come infrequently. When it rains gold, put out the bucket, not…
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Tuesday, 23 April 2019 15:40
The system behind our 100% correct market forecasts and why BJP will win again
Can any analysis forecast outcome of events like Brexit, or trade war, or India’s elections? Yes. Though it is difficult to judge an outcome where personal opinions are involved in decision making. But there are experts who have in-depth knowledge of most of the key factors. For instance, there are…
Saturday, 06 April 2019 14:16
Wealth Management Options - And the Undisclosed Dangers of Mutual Funds
Mutual funds is a huge industry and though regulated strongly by SEBI, there are many in-built structural faults in a mutual fund that makes it a highly inefficient investment vehicle. Though it is a good choice if you neither understand the markets nor you have any time. In mutual funds…
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Wednesday, 06 February 2019 23:01
Why Invest Now - India on Cusp of Explosive Growth
If you want to look beyond the trade wars, fed rate hike, RBI rate cut, budget, and even 2019 elections, then every serious long term investor must go through the video presentation posted below.
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Saturday, 26 January 2019 13:56
Time to Invest?
Several experts are saying that 2019 will be bad for investors citing trade war, Fed rate hikes, global slowdown and domestic rising deficit and political uncertainty. We had recommended exit from equities in August 2018 when Nifty was 11430, and now we recommend to start investing in equities again. The…
Sunday, 20 January 2019 16:44
Market Signal
Trend analysis algorithm is indicating a reversal of current down trend. This entry (buy) signal was generated on last closing of 10906 on 18th January 2019. There are possibilities that Nifty may fall 2-4% from here, but any strong and prolonged correction may not take place.
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Saturday, 08 December 2018 11:56
The Real Causes of Trade War and Impact on Markets
The real reasons behind US China trade war Trade deficit of USA with China is not the real reason of trade war. To understand that consider this analogy – imagine having a magic tree in your backyard that yields currency notes and you freely use these notes to buy groceries,…
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Saturday, 03 November 2018 22:58
India: Hurdles to Growth
Some of the main reasons that were responsible for fast growth of India themselves have now become headwinds now. Can India overcome these hurdles? The key hurdles are mentioned below in brief – Jobless Growth One of the basic drivers of India’s growth is its high proportion of young age…